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We’ve all heard of the Consumer Price Index (CPI).  It keeps track of the rate of inflation in a basket of goods like used cars or even eggs. When the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases it every month, investors…

There aren’t many worse feelings than holding a stock through a precipitous fall. You spend eons replaying moments in your head, wishing you took a different course of action. Well, I’m here today to issue a warning. In doing my…

Garrett Baldwin said it yesterday morning – “the United States government is officially out of money.” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she’ll be able to take “extraordinary measures” to help fund government operations and service our $31 trillion debt, but…

The market is getting two different, competing messages: We’re going to pull off the soft landing or a recession is certain to hit.  I last saw it on a Contrarian blog, but it’s mainstream, too; you can hear it from…

Dear Trader, The earnings season has kicked off and this week we are going to start seeing headline after headline come our way. I’ll be honest, there are 71 companies reporting, and most people either don’t have the bandwidth to…

Dear Trader,   We are starting to see earnings hit the tape from the big banks and the whole market is watching. On a company-by-company basis, earnings are important, but if you want to trade like me and avoid the…

  This morning I asked everybody if – based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) coming in at expectations –  they thought the market was starting a bull run. I wanted to know how many of you thought that the…

There have been more than a few signals that bank stocks are set for a rough 2023. Yet despite the layoffs and bonus reductions, SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE) has not threatened the low we saw back in July. But…

We have been talking about unusual volatility a lot lately, whether it be due to low volume or the headlines sending traders into a frenzy.  But there is no better tool to predict volatility than the Bollinger bands, and they…

No one factor is going to derail the energy trade; there are many at work here spanning technical data, global influences, and overall trader sentiment. If you look at the United States Oil Fund LP (USO) chart, it is in…

There aren’t many tools at a trader’s disposal that give a clearer look ahead at the market than open interest configuration (OI). This allows us to see where the money is in the market by showing the total number of…

Tesla (TSLA) has been on the ‘golden boy” list of stocks for quite some time. It has been the window dressing for all the large funds who want to say “hey, look at what you get when you put your…

Alright, everyone, it’s time to stop asking about the Santa Claus rally. It’s not coming this year. This is going to be a year of reflection, thought, and maybe a little fear. However, there was something yesterday that was extremely…

The holidays are behind us and everybody is making their returns and buying the gifts that they really wanted. Investors and traders are making their way back home and getting situated and prepared for the new year.  This puts the…

Back in September, I showed you XHB – the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF – was performing outside the bounds of rationality. On September 9, when I told you about it, the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) was a house of…

You know just as well as I do that avoiding the headline risk in your portfolio is extremely important, especially right now as the market looks to latch onto something other than the Fed. Avoiding the headlines does NOT mean…

We’ve seen five straight weeks of investors and traders biting their nails over each data point compounded by the building anxiety of the Fed’s December interest rate decision. The market has been unwilling to move one direction or another for…

Dear Reader,   I want to bring an important distinction to your attention… The difference between “stopwatch” and “calendar” traders. Don’t get me wrong, day trading – which is living by the stopwatch – can be plenty profitable. But there…

This chart is the simplest depiction of the different stages of a market rally or decline in terms of sentiment. It is extremely useful to apply to market environments to help make forward-thinking projections. The reasoning is simple. Every investor…

The market is vacillating all over the place right now as traders are still digesting this morning’s Producer Price Index (PPI). But the market has been using this week to go off the rails, and it has caused one of…

Bear-market rallies are nothing new. They provide moments of hope and opportunity during otherwise trying times. People can make a pretty penny, too. I’ve seen plenty of people make 20% returns on their portfolios in a matter of weeks. Of…

Let’s get back to the one thing that we can start to actually put a pin in, the numbers. It’s a market built on expectations and yes, repetition.  It’s all thanks to the traders. Bear Market Rallies are nothing new. …

The sector activity represents the sentiment in the market… nobody knows where to go, except in the case of energy which is acting like the QQQ in November of 2021…. JUST BUY THE DIPS.  That, of course, will be a…

Predicting the point at which an index switches directions is an inexact science – unless you’ve got math on your side. And in this instance, thanks to our friend Leonardo de Pisa – creator of the Fibonacci sequence – we’re…

  There is one surefire way to find volatility in the market as a technician of trading. If you have been with me for any length of time, you know that I am a technical trader. And, if you have…

I’ve been talking about market breadth a lot lately – the number of companies, as a percentage of the S&P 500, currently trading higher than their 50-day moving average (MA50).  The benefit of using this as a sentiment indicator is…

Dear Reader, I talk about the CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio a lot. But I check on it even more often. That’s for good reason. It’s one of the things I monitor closest to determine exactly when we’ve reached a…

Dear Trader,   Back in January and again last month, we discussed the “economic supercycle.” This is an order of operations that you’ll need to intimately understand if you want to get ahead of the market. It’s a pretty simple…

A “cooler” CPI sent stocks on the strongest rally we’ve seen in two years. The problem is, “deceptive” is a much more useful descriptor. This is 100% a bear market disguised as a genuine recovery. I’ll show you why. It…

Dear Trader, this market seems to have blown a fuse in reaction to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) this morning.  I told you Tuesday we’d wait until today to start trading… I wanted to wait until after the midterms and…

In every kind of market, there’s always talk about “safe havens” and “flights to safety.” Gold, Treasury notes, cash – investors cling to them all at one point or another. Think about it like this – when you’re on choppy…

Summary – Tepid is the word of the week.   The Nasdaq 100 and other major indices are perched at potential pivot points just waiting for the  Election results and CPI to nudge control into the hand of the buyers or…

Dear Trader,   As you guys saw yesterday after the FOMC announcement, it turned into a real gut check for the market. The reaction was a rollercoaster – we had a crazy knee-jerk rip higher right at 2 PM, as…

Dear Reader, The past week has been wild, with Chicago Board Options Exchange’s CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) readings hovering around 26 and nearly 1,000-point swings on the S&P 500. Well, buckle up, because it’s about to get even crazier. I’m…

Dear Trader,   Today is part two of my explanation of why you NEED to be getting dirty in the market with hand-to-hand trading. When you are in the heat of the moment, you’re in the trenches of the market…

This market is making less and less sense each day.  Just look at SNAP INC’s earnings as a recent example. When I say the report was great, that’s an understatement. They beat Earnings Per Share (EPS) by more than 1,051%!…

Last week I showed you the 86% correlation on the S&P 500 when I compared July 2008 and October 2022.   Well, where there’s smoke, there’s fire.   I found another chart from the 2008-2009 range that shows me the…

This volatile market can be great for people will millions or billions in capital in play, with trading desks that can play bulls vs. bears, but it’s murder for small investors with a few thousand dollars at work in the…

Let’s have some fun, because why not. It’s Taco Tuesday. It’s time for a Chart Challenge. If you win, well, that means you’re one of the select few with a peek behind the curtain. Because what I uncovered has serious…

Dear Trader, I know everyone’s focused on earnings right now, but I’m going in my own direction here. I’m looking at the overall market trend because that’s where the biggest profits are. So, in the pursuit of big money, it’s…

No one’s right 100% of the time, even me. I was looking at a stock, Thor Industries Inc. (THO) – an American RV manufacturer. Everything about the setup told me this stock was ripe for a fall. The technicals, the…

I hope you’re paying attention because I’m about to let you in on a little secret… I’m watching the VIX very closely right now. It seems to be creeping toward one of my rules – the VIX always knocks twice….

When I pick my chart of the day, it isn’t just something random. After all, I’m a technical trading expert. These things are my love language. Not just any chart will do. I want you to get something from it….

Look, let me make one thing clear… I’m not fighting inflation right now. I’m playing it for money. I’ll show you how in just a little bit, but first I’ve got to set the stage. As you know, I love…

As you know, everybody’s eyes are on earnings this week. Well, predicting the reaction to an earnings announcement is notoriously difficult. There are more reasons than I can think of that make this statement true. Even if a company misses…

You may not like what I’m about to tell you, but it’s for your own good. If you’ve heard it from me before, listen up again… There’s a reason that I’m going over it. It is for your own good….

I know I have been hitting this HARD this week, but when I say this topic is the MOST important thing right now, I don’t use that verbiage lightly. I’m talking about the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio… After more than…

The Equity Put/Call Ratio (EQPCR) – a measure of the number of traded put options divided by the number of traded call options – finally hit 1.0. (More on that to come…) What that means is it’s time to start…

Let’s start with this…. What’s wrong with this picture? Nothing dummies!!  The Fed has been projecting this move since Jackson Hole, but for some reason, the market just can’t accept the fact that Jerome Powell and the FOMC have a…

Market breadth is everything, I mean EVERYTHING… Let’s take a quick look at what market breadth is according to Investopedia… Now not all of us are Garrett Baldwin so let me break that down a bit so it’s easier to…

Sentiment is one of the largest drivers in the market. Technicals and sentiment outweigh fundamentals. So, what’s going to happen this week as Jerome Powell prepares to try and screw us all? I’ll just say it: I don’t care what…

Dear Traders, Last December I started to talk to you about the Economic Super Cycle, This is because I saw signals of the change we were about to experience as the bond market hit its top. We are now past…

Dear Trader, Listen…. The other day Brandon asked me a question about inflation and because I was out yesterday I feel the need to bring it to light right here, right now. Inflation, we are living in this mess day…

Dear Trader, When I sat down Monday morning and looked at the week ahead, two things stuck out like a sore thumb: the CPI and Bitcoin. These two numbers are whats important for the week ahead. The CPI is important…

Dear Trader, Our friends across the pond are on our minds today not only because of the passing of the queen, but also because of the crisis they have been slowly lowering themselves into for the past decade… If you…

Dear Trader, The market is doing something that traders should hate seeing…. Boiling the Frog. If you put a frog into a pot of boiling water, it will jump out, but if the frog into a pot of normal water…

Dear Reader, In 30-plus years of trading, I’ve seen… a lot. The dot.com bubble when nearly every tech stock tanked and most fell right into the abyss… The Great Recession in 2008 and the sub-prime derivative market that set it…

Dear Reader, You’ve heard me say it a thousand times. Let the market come to you. Well, there may be no better time to heed that advice than right now. It’s time to prepare your bear traps. September is historically…

Dear Trader, Despite the low volume trading and the lowered signal count, I can give you another view of my bull/bear model results that I don’t share too often. It’s the next layer to my trading… This tells us the…

Dear Trader, I told you I may have covered this for the last time yesterday. One more time, just for you… I have been diligently watching these MEME stocks so I can have an indication as to when these investors…

Dear Trader, The VIX made a move of 18% yesterday as the market started coping with the fact that yes, we may be in for another trip to the market’s recent bottom. Looking back over time, which I love to…

Dear Trader, We’re hitting this a little earlier in the cycle today since I truly think that this has become something a little more serious instead of comical… This truly is it folks. All of you that have been thinking…

Dear Trader, Day after day, the MEMEsters cease to amaze me with the drive, passion, and IGNORANCE they trade with. It has gotten to the point where I am doing daily MEME stock updates because the next big market event…

Dear Trader, Remember my comment earlier this week about the 9% of NASDAQ 100 stocks trading below their 50-day? This came up in my NTR stream with Garrett on Wednesday so I thought I would pull out a chart that…

Dear Trader, Do you remember when I made the joke that our friends across the pond would have a romantic winter because they will have to heat their homes with firewood due to not only the shortage of natural gas…

Dear Trader, We are seeing only 9 companies that are trading below their respective 50-day trend line from QQQ. Do you know which QQQ stocks are trading at a 10% above their 50-day trend line right now? People, are you…

Dear Trader, There is currently a substantial number of stocks trading up and above their RSI. If you are unaware the RSI or Relative Strength Index is an indicator that I use which tells me when a stock is over…

Yesterday I asked my feverishly handsome friend Mark Sebastian if he has seen money flowing into the lesser watched areas of the market. Together, Mark and I find a big money trade on XLE in this video mark showed us…

Dear Trader, I gotta give some credit to my Crypto Consigliere for always filling in a few blanks. Through my talks with him ive come to realize that Bitcoin is a bit more responsive to the market and it tells…

Dear Trader, The market is setting itself up for failure. We are seeing too many forward looking plays, it’s getting ahead of itself right now and I fear that it’s going to get messy. Do you think that we are…

Dear Trader, Do you think interest rates are about to go back down? Or is the market just getting ahead of itself… This Past week during our massive Night Trader Stream, somebody asked me “if the Fed raises interest rate…

Did you catch my talk with Garret this morning? We both made a lot of good points and of course Garrett has the biggest brain around and dropped a real knowledge bomb on you guys right alongside me. We talked…

Dear Trader, You know just as well as I do that avoiding the headline risk in your trades is extremely important, especially right now. Avoiding the headlines does NOT mean to ignore them… we have to be watching them, understanding…

Dear Trader, Last week it was all about the QQQ as the technology-heavy ETF saw almost half of its weight report their quarterly results. That’s what put a fire under the market’s ass. This week, things spread out a little…

Dear Trader, Have you ever wondered why they say volume is a trader’s best friend? Bitcoin like the rest of the market is susceptible to people hopping on the hope train especially right now. There is a pattern in BTC…

Dear Trader, Does Jerome Powell have the Chops to go off the top rope Volcker style to bring us back from the edge? Does he even need to? Today I talked about the interesting situation the Fed finds themselves in…

Dear Trader, Seasonality has just flipped on you. Do you know what to expect in the coming weeks? The Fed is giving you the roadmap I’m just here to tell you how to read it. Let’s take a look at…

Dear Trader, Microsoft and Google both released earnings yesterday. Brandon had the AUDACITY to open the show today by asking me how I felt about it… I told him to get the standards and practices button ready or I would…

Dear Trader, The market has been moving in some interesting ways… There seems to be a battle of the FOMO traders buying and the technical hand of the market flicking them away like a little mosquito. What should you be…

Dear Trader, If the market is closed do you enjoy your time off? If you are anything like me and you truly love trading that’s going to be a hard NO. Even when the markets are not open your head…

Dear Trader, Harbor Freight, it’s where you go when you need a cheap tool that you can expect to just throw away after a single use. Hell, if I know I need a hammer but all I can find is…

Dear Trader, We are “riding the rails” today as I talk about the top Bollinger Band. With all due respect to Ozzy Osborne, we’re going off the rails on this crazy train. Stocks are flying a bit close to the…

Dear Trader, We saw some interesting twists in the sector signal summary today. I’m going to break that down and explain the importance of knowing where the money is migrating to in the markets. Think of the market as a…

Dear Trader, Do you know what the MOST important chart for you to understand is? It’s not QQQ, it’s not the S&P, it’s not even $VIX. This is something ive been dragging my feet on a bit because we talk…

Dear Trader, Who remembers the headlines from 18 months ago? Anybody? I do. In January 2021 we saw something pretty crazy happen in the market. GME went from $17.25 to an astonishing $347.51 in three weeks. I guess video games…

Dear Trader, Have you seen how our summer side portfolio is doing? Well, I want to give you a bit of an update so far we have put 4 new positions on in the past week since starting our Energy…

Dear Traders, Why would you ever go short on a company you are trusting your life savings with? If they can handle your money why wouldn’t they be successful in handling their own? These are both questions people on the…

Dear Trader, There has been some funny business going on in the financial sector. There is a combination of a few key indicators that we are not seeing very often in the market. When we see outliers in the markets…

Dear Trader, We talked about the CPI number on Monday. Well this month’s CPI number came out this morning, and showed EXACTLY what we expected. I might even go as far to say that the numbers we saw may be…

Dear Trader, For years Europe has been on the cutting edge of green innovation. Well, with big plans such as green energy, if you don’t move quickly things can happen that make those plans backfire and have global repercussions. The…

Dear Trader, The CPI (Consumer Price Index) numbers are coming out Wednesday. We all can look at our bank accounts and make a pretty good guess about what the CPI is going to say. Author Venita VanCaspel had this to…

Dear Trader, What do you do when your favorite trending stock pulls back from its latest all-time high? Do you buy the dip? Or do you ride the rollercoaster down. It’s a classic dilemma, but a very relevant one today….

Dear Trader, Energy is in a bit of a rally. Yesterday with Mark I think it was pretty clear, I was shouting from the roof tops that energy will be going even lower. Well looking at our sector Skittles chart…

Dear Traders, Today, Mark and I went live this morning to give you the breakdown on energy! We know for sure that July and August historically has not been favorable to the energy sector. We had to realize that a…

Dear trader, What is one rule that every trader knows but, not every investor understands? Volatility is your friend! Now you’ll see soon why I decided to use the specific terms “trader” and “investor.” It can cause major market moves….

Dear traders, The other day I was asked what I mean when I say slow the markets down. I guess with the excitement of the chats in front of me I fail to realize when I make statements like this…

Dear trader, What is one rule that every trader knows but, not every investor understands? Volatility is your friend! Now you’ll see soon why I decided to use the specific terms “trader” and “investor.” It can cause major market moves….

Dear traders, This morning I asked a question to you guys. I said “the market likes ____?” Since Brandon couldn’t hold up his end of the deal, I wanted to let everybody know who hit the nail on the head…

Dear traders, When we look at the markets we see headlines left and right. People chirping on twitter being able to move the markets with just their word. When people start to see things like this they start to move…

Dear trader, How many of you think we are in a recession currently? When I asked this morning a lot of you were saying you think it is still down the line. “We are just in a bear market” you…